Market · 2 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 11 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| woshisb0x295f…4edb | No | 1,072 | 68.3¢ | $863 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 1,258 | 51.0¢ | $245 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,429 bets |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ80x4aba…f791 | No | 254 | 76.3¢ | $205 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 834 | 26.1¢ | $163 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 121 | 72.0¢ | $97 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,915 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | No | 51 | 72.4¢ | $41 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price · Oct 12 · 415 events · $437K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.