Market
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kknd4040x28d5…458b | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | Yes | 500 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 23,479 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 206 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,944 bets |
| woshisb0x295f…4edb | Yes | 176 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 1,212 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 45 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 43 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,486 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.