Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Up money sits with 11 accounts that hold just as much Down. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Up, 0 on Down. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hqcake030x799f…0fc0 | Up | 1,710 | 60.2¢ | $898 | — |
| 0xfdc0…e6a1 | Down | 1,706 | 48.0¢ | $810 | — |
Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Up |
| 1,500 |
| 62.3¢ |
| $788 |
| — |
| trulyalya10xbf5f…c035 | Up | 1,481 | 52.4¢ | $777 | — |
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | 1,448 | 68.3¢ | $760 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 3,986 bets |
| Niseko0x801d…d8e0 | Down | 1,600 | 50.8¢ | $760 | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 2,052 bets |
11 accounts bet both sides equally · 1.04K shares each side · Show
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Bitcoin price · Oct 12 · 413 events · $410K in play