Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Up money sits with 12 accounts that hold just as much Down. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Up, 0 on Down. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfdc0…e6a1 | Down | 1,706 | 48.0¢ | $1.19K | — |
| Niseko0x801d…d8e0 | Down | 1,600 | 50.8¢ | $1.11K | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 2,052 bets |
Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Down |
| 1,224 |
| 48.2¢ |
| $851 |
| — |
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | Down | 1,113 | 69.9¢ | $774 | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 4,001 bets |
| hqcake030x799f…0fc0 | Up | 1,710 | 60.2¢ | $522 | — |
| flokeat0xd825…a76e | Up | 1,500 | 62.3¢ | $458 | — |
| trulyalya10xbf5f…c035 | Up | 1,481 | 52.4¢ | $452 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Down | 602 | 57.3¢ | $418 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| Albedo000x160d…6f25 | Down | 497 | 27.3¢ | $345 | Losing−$6.18 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Down | 488 | 64.3¢ | $339 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| gangwarharshit0xaad0…f61d | Up | 857 | 30.9¢ | $262 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 4,280 bets |
| 0xe2cc…893c | Up | 526 | 37.6¢ | $160 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | 230 | 47.4¢ | $160 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | Down | 215 | 46.7¢ | $149 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,915 bets |
| 12398fg0xd6db…2f0d | Down | 200 | 37.0¢ | $139 | — |
| momingqimiao0xe461…a797 | Down | 142 | 27.3¢ | $99 | — |
| LesMeGo0x4163…521c | Down | 141 | 33.7¢ | $98 | Losing−$8.19 per $100 · 2,158 bets |
| easyclap0x71a7…6fcf | Up | 312 | 54.9¢ | $95 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 5,652 bets |
| rplc-ftbl0xac4c…2200 | Down | 111 | 53.8¢ | $77 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Up | 241 | 48.2¢ | $73 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| PSLTrades0x7e16…71ef | Down | 98 | 48.8¢ | $68 | — |
| JSMongolia0x6006…c7e4 | Down | 88 | 54.4¢ | $61 | — |
| 0xb676…7fb8 | Up | 200 | 51.7¢ | $61 | — |
| 0xca2b…3489 | Up | 185 | 37.2¢ | $56 | — |
| fastlifefastprofit0xeb6f…5597 | Down | 80 | 41.0¢ | $56 | — |
| 5f5a0xa42f…5f5a | Up | 180 | 28.8¢ | $55 | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 15,346 bets |
| pandagame10x8055…8ad1 | Up | 175 | 58.7¢ | $54 | New54 settled bets |
| Gennaro6z0xb93e…b67a | Up | 155 | 49.0¢ | $47 | — |
| Gilgamesh190x2ad1…a60e | Up | 150 | 35.6¢ | $46 | — |
| oly-mm0xb664…25f2 | Up | 148 | 42.9¢ | $45 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | Down | 63 | 68.3¢ | $44 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
| MMMCN0xbb9e…1ac8 | Up | 117 | 34.9¢ | $36 | — |
| qfwdsd10x00cb…e987 | Up | 104 | 35.9¢ | $32 | Losing−$5.28 per $100 · 3,166 bets |
| HBX020x65b7…f83c | Up | 100 | 48.8¢ | $30 | — |
| Kurre60x8147…2499 | Down | 40 | 54.7¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x33c5…c5d2 | Down | 36 | 40.5¢ | $25 | — |
| honk750x5651…66a6 | Up | 82 | 62.7¢ | $25 | Losing−$4.03 per $100 · 1,521 bets |
| 0x1ad3…0d3b | Up | 79 | 51.0¢ | $24 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Down | 34 | 65.6¢ | $23 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 252,392+ bets · updating |
| metwoowt0x55fb…1ad4 | Up | 75 | 40.7¢ | $23 | — |
| crixuswu0xfc7d…1860 | Up | 74 | 37.6¢ | $23 | — |
| 888888888888888888888880x537d…8d16 | Down | 30 | 49.0¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x1c4f…e955 | Up | 50 | 43.3¢ | $15 | — |
| mmzhu30xf639…efd8 | Up | 49 | 53.3¢ | $15 | — |
| Niteshjhajhria0x1f2a…7189 | Down | 21 | 68.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x520d…a3ef | Down | 18 | 75.1¢ | $13 | — |
| Wrajitoru1850xdc6d…10fa | Up | 40 | 49.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$9.12 per $100 · 1,128 bets |
| 0x0644…c7b0 | Down | 16 | 70.5¢ | $11 | — |
| 3141592653589793238460xc346…36cc | Down | 14 | 72.4¢ | $10 | — |
| incrediblemachine0x9441…be7b | Up | 27 | 63.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Vwfl81540xcb6e…4bc0 | Down | 11 | 47.7¢ | $8 | — |
| fatchikn0x7d75…eb9f | Down | 11 | 57.7¢ | $7 | — |
| RCC19850x9b8c…5c7b | Down | 10 | 46.7¢ | $7 | — |
| manlu0xb7d3…1676 | Down | 10 | 55.7¢ | $7 | — |
| rabadabadoo0xdc3f…4fa0 | Down | 10 | 51.8¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 48,585 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Down | 10 | 54.2¢ | $7 | — |
| Wasdcantwin0x67a9…3ad2 | Down | 10 | 48.7¢ | $7 | — |
| renfree0x7b47…902d | Up | 20 | 43.4¢ | $6 | — |
| dwayne980x913a…455a | Up | 20 | 46.2¢ | $6 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Up | 20 | 32.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | Up | 20 | 70.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0RockStar0x9c1e…302f | Up | 20 | 49.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x4403…4752 | Up | 16 | 64.6¢ | $5 | — |
| WYFSJ0x853d…c7e7 | Up | 3 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 7541817050x5c06…c1c4 | Up | 1 | 47.9¢ | $0 | — |
12 accounts bet both sides equally · 1.45K shares each side · Show
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Bitcoin price · Oct 12 · 416 events · $466K in play