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Topic · Geopolitics
227 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
5.1% of Polymarket
Events · markets
112 · 227
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 82 days
Proven traders lean No on December 31 · 1 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| ReedUpdatee0x07a9…32c8 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.15M | Losing−$7.86 per $100 · 133 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:31 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| No on December 31, 2026 |
| $1.06M |
| Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 441 bets |
| ThisAgain0x2cff…59db | No on December 31, 2026 | $521.9K | New36 bets |
| ololololololololo0x2c4c…cb39 | No on December 31, 2026 | $515.6K | Losing−$8.48 per $100 · 188 bets |
| BigBusinessPro0x71b5…1231 | No on December 31, 2026 | $320.8K | New1 settled bet |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No on December 31, 2026 | $302.7K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| Clicker10xc884…e17e | No on December 31, 2026 | $295.8K | New24 bets |
| IGORS0x1496…ee6f | No on December 31, 2026 | $280.5K | New14 bets |
| GoriIIa0xfffa…864b | No on December 31 | $199.8K | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 414 bets |
| SlenderMan0xab19…4876 | No on October 31 | $188.4K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 533 bets |
| cqs0xdfe3…73c4 | No on Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026 | $171.2K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 401 bets |
| SecondWindCapital0x8c80…02c3 | No on December 31, 2026 | $155.0K | New79 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No on December 31 | $134.5K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No on December 31, 2026 | $125.5K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| 0xdea2…e981 | No on December 31, 2026 | $122.6K | New23 bets |
| How.Dare.You0x4bbe…2cf3 | No on December 31, 2026 | $115.6K | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 1,350 bets |
| ANGGGuess0xab01…2558 | No on December 31, 2026 | $105.7K | New10 bets |
| vacoolaaa0x464e…1a67 | No on December 31, 2026 | $105.1K | Losing−$3.60 per $100 · 218 bets |
| 0xeF9E1c0xef9e…8c58 | No on December 31, 2026 | $97.1K | New1 settled bet |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | No on December 31, 2026 | $87.4K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No on December 31 | $82.0K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| boss7777770x30e5…1549 | No on December 31 | $80.0K | New11 bets |
| NeH0x11fc…dc48 | No on December 31 | $79.2K | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 159 bets |
| ZnotluvuiSamez0x2889…9226 | December 31, 2026 | $69.9K | New43 bets |
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No on December 31 | $64.8K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 26,314 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.