Loading this topic
Topic · Geopolitics
5 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.9% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 5
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 16
in 5 days
Proven traders lean No on October 15 · 3 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 5 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No on October 31 | $380.3K | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:27 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| carlos4840x9e72…99c4 |
| No on October 31 |
| $137.0K |
| New40 bets |
| Babymunk0x199d…6e7b | No on October 15 | $64.5K | New64 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No on October 15 | $61.7K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,931 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | No on October 15 | $56.5K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No on October 15 | $54.7K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No on October 15 | $52.9K | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060 bets |
| zthunderfury0xc682…17bb | No on October 15 | $46.9K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 497 bets |
| V1nch0u0xf0f8…325f | No on October 15 | $46.2K | Break-even−$0.37 per $100 · 9,445 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No on October 15 | $42.6K | Proven+$6.06 per $100 · 622 bets |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | No on October 15 | $37.0K | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 637 bets |
| Chelseaone0xef9b…d5ed | No on October 15 | $37.0K | New61 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No on October 15 | $36.9K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 1,959 bets |
| tsybka0xd5cc…dea4 | December 31 | $35.4K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 943 bets |
| CARBEACH0xc4c8…cabb | October 31 | $34.4K | New17 bets |
| pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489 | No on October 31 | $33.8K | Proven+$5.66 per $100 · 278 bets |
| MoonLambo12050x49e9…8f85 | No on October 31 | $33.1K | Losing−$3.34 per $100 · 144 bets |
| coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252 | No on October 15 | $32.7K | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 358 bets |
| SlotinCap0xa551…e050 | October 15 | $32.4K | New20 bets |
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | No on October 31 | $31.3K | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 371 bets |
| Bertapotamous0x134a…9e42 | December 31 | $30.7K | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 4,216 bets |
| products0x8575…87fe | No on October 31 | $29.9K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 10,070 bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No on October 31 | $26.4K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No on December 31 | $25.1K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | No on October 31 | $22.2K | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.