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Topic · Geopolitics
5 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.9% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 5
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 16
in 5 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? | March 31 | 65.5¢ | down 6 points this week | $2.94M |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:14 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
Yes minus No · across the 5 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No on October 31 | $382.5K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| carlos4840x9e72…99c4 | No on October 31 | $138.0K | New40 bets |
| Babymunk0x199d…6e7b | No on October 15 | $64.6K | New64 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No on October 15 | $62.0K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,931 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | No on October 15 | $56.7K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No on October 15 | $55.0K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No on October 15 | $53.0K | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060 bets |
| zthunderfury0xc682…17bb | No on October 15 | $47.2K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 497 bets |
| V1nch0u0xf0f8…325f | No on October 15 | $46.2K | Break-even−$0.37 per $100 · 9,445 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No on October 15 | $42.6K | Proven+$6.06 per $100 · 622 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.