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Topic · Geopolitics
2 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
2.4% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 2
that win or lose together
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 81 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by...? | June 30, 2027 | 9.5¢ | down 1 point this week | $7.67M |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:37 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
Yes minus No · across the 2 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| ReedUpdatee0x07a9…32c8 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.16M | Losing−$7.86 per $100 · 133 bets |
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.00M | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 444 bets |
| ThisAgain0x2cff…59db | No on December 31, 2026 | $520.9K | New36 bets |
| ololololololololo0x2c4c…cb39 | No on December 31, 2026 | $428.7K | Losing−$8.48 per $100 · 188 bets |
| IGORS0x1496…ee6f | No on December 31, 2026 | $350.2K | New14 bets |
| Clicker10xc884…e17e | No on December 31, 2026 | $295.2K | New24 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No on December 31, 2026 | $290.9K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| BigBusinessPro0x71b5…1231 | No on December 31, 2026 | $264.2K | New1 settled bet |
| SecondWindCapital0x8c80…02c3 | No on December 31, 2026 | $154.2K | New79 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No on December 31, 2026 | $125.2K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.