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Topic · Macro
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.1% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
4 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Dec 10
in 60 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 77.5¢ | – | $0.33M |
Yes minus No · across the 1 main markets
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:29 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $62.0K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991 | No on Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $42.3K | Proven+$5.00 per $100 · 149 bets |
| TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard0x1058…01c1 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $38.8K | Positive+$56.99 per $100 · 241 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $36.0K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| 0x74b4…6bea | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $20.9K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 411 bets |
| Spiderman1617160x8663…cfac | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $12.7K | – |
| newguy6660xf579…9989 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $9.8K | – |
| Ferwhere0x152f…a549 | No on Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $5.8K | Positive+$68.55 per $100 · 157 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $5.4K | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $5.2K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.