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Topic · Macro
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.1% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
4 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Dec 10
in 59 days
Proven traders lean Another Fed rate hike in 2026 · 4 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 1 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $61.2K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:25 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991 | No on Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $44.2K | Proven+$5.00 per $100 · 149 bets |
| TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard0x1058…01c1 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $38.3K | Positive+$56.99 per $100 · 241 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $35.6K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| 0x74b4…6bea | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $20.7K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 411 bets |
| Spiderman1617160x8663…cfac | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $12.5K | – |
| newguy6660xf579…9989 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $9.7K | – |
| Ferwhere0x152f…a549 | No on Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $6.1K | Positive+$68.22 per $100 · 158 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $5.4K | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $5.2K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| forgetfuldory0xf1e1…6f6f | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $4.4K | New6 bets |
| bambooo0xdb9b…1d68 | No on Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $4.4K | – |
| gambler9250x76db…6987 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $4.2K | – |
| aiwar0x277e…7d32 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $3.8K | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 293 bets |
| 0x2a5f…6c92 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $3.8K | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 114 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No on Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $3.4K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 252,445 bets |
| GoldmanSachs0x71dd…d61c | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $3.1K | Proven+$12.50 per $100 · 534 bets |
| 0xf0ee…7d14 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $2.8K | – |
| 0xd640…480c | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $2.8K | Losing−$32.74 per $100 · 775 bets |
| HorribleWork0x7804…7025 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $2.8K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 1,375 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $2.6K | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| TheRealWarMonger0xe472…e7eb | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $2.3K | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 699 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $2.2K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,414 bets |
| OldZz0x298b…f406 | No on Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $2.1K | Losing−$8.55 per $100 · 232 bets |
| Elposton0xe228…1f4c | No on Another Fed rate hike in 2026 | $1.9K | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.