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Topic · Geopolitics
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 1
in 19 days
Proven traders lean No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 · 3 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 1 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $10.9K | Positive+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:48 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| 0x56e7…7c0b |
| No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 |
| $10.1K |
| Proven+$6.11 per $100 · 157 bets |
| Nikrider0xd269…6c22 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $3.8K | – |
| 0x955c…990f | US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $3.2K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 587 bets |
| 💰💰0x8196…ab69 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $2.5K | – |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $2.2K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| iForgor0x0562…9d66 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.9K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 2,123 bets |
| Dufu0x9529…7c6a | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.7K | – |
| 0x7678…22a3 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.7K | Proven+$10.57 per $100 · 122 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.4K | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| WEN-ALPHA0x5464…af99 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.4K | Proven+$14.89 per $100 · 273 bets |
| JustADonk0x01e6…e7e0 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.2K | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 1,980 bets |
| Archeroon0xeff9…05fd | US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.1K | – |
| Salamandra1110xe6c4…c574 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.1K | New17 bets |
| Petukhovsky0x42b4…b098 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $986 | – |
| LehmanBrother2.00x5fbf…8925 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $775 | New12 bets |
| Umaroth0xefde…783d | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $698 | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 4,270 bets |
| Specksalam0x80f1…3ccd | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $697 | New88 bets |
| doubleone20xff91…ab3a | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $496 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 833 bets |
| cdecercwd0x5d2d…d535 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $465 | Positive+$2.25 per $100 · 106 bets |
| Hans3230x0f37…1410 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $424 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,875 bets |
| pollution0x4574…ab3e | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $406 | – |
| GaioMario0x94d0…9e65 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $388 | – |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $388 | Proven+$11.46 per $100 · 1,102 bets |
| Arman20x9453…1a48 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $354 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.