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Topic · Geopolitics
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
4 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 1
in 19 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | No | 78.5¢ | – | $64.5K |
Yes minus No · across the 1 main markets
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:08 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $11.0K | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| 0x56e7…7c0b | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $10.2K | Proven+$6.11 per $100 · 157 bets |
| Nikrider0xd269…6c22 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $3.7K | – |
| 0x955c…990f | US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $3.1K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 587 bets |
| 💰💰0x8196…ab69 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $2.5K | – |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $2.2K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| iForgor0x0562…9d66 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $2.0K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,122 bets |
| Dufu0x9529…7c6a | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.7K | – |
| 0x7678…22a3 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.7K | Proven+$10.57 per $100 · 122 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No on US imports Russian diesel by October 31 | $1.4K | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.