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Topic · Geopolitics
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
2 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 80 days
Proven traders lean No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 · 2 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 1 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $10.3K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 04:51 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| cezarn1320x5f17…519e | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $2.2K | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 206 bets |
| nkolbet510xa177…6e84 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $2.0K | – |
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $1.5K | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| 007-Bond0x8947…f4b4 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $953 | New96 bets |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $905 | – |
| Vanga30000xf5e8…a1ce | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $474 | – |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $466 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 3,461 bets |
| Jerzy0x5943…2ef2 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $436 | Proven+$5.52 per $100 · 363 bets |
| AsapRing0x282d…10fe | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $415 | – |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $354 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| Pantheon10x606e…6b3a | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $333 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 477 bets |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $314 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| DumbOracle0xa9ec…57d5 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $291 | – |
| varch010x0362…449e | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $289 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| 0xd054…7e38 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $285 | – |
| AlexPro0xa638…1d87 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $281 | Positive+$4.97 per $100 · 1,134 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $262 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,433 bets |
| akazipper0xc398…9c7f | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $247 | – |
| Aragorn-II0xc9ad…79d0 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $238 | – |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $206 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,062 bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $190 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 993 bets |
| Shadalion0x07ee…36c5 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $190 | – |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $74 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,131 bets |
| alpaca0x5da5…e620 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $50 | Losing−$6.68 per $100 · 287 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.