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Topic · Geopolitics
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
2 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 80 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 95.5¢ | up 0.5 points this week | $26.5K |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:21 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
Yes minus No · across the 1 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $10.4K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| cezarn1320x5f17…519e | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $2.2K | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 206 bets |
| nkolbet510xa177…6e84 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $2.0K | – |
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $1.5K | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| 007-Bond0x8947…f4b4 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $958 | New96 bets |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $910 | – |
| Vanga30000xf5e8…a1ce | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $476 | – |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $468 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 3,461 bets |
| AsapRing0x282d…10fe | No on Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $417 | – |
| Jerzy0x5943…2ef2 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027 | $392 | Proven+$5.52 per $100 · 363 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.