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Topic · Geopolitics
3 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 3
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 31
in 19 days
Proven traders lean No on December 31, 2026 · 3 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 3 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No on December 31, 2026 | $8.7K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,062 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:37 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| 202606010xb36c…1077 |
| December 31, 2026 |
| $6.5K |
| Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
| 0805260x9ad7…4084 | No on December 31, 2026 | $3.5K | – |
| 0xc91b…93bd | December 31, 2026 | $3.4K | – |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No on December 31, 2026 | $3.1K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No on October 31, 2026 | $2.7K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,401 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No on December 31, 2026 | $2.7K | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 5,714 bets |
| RogerFed0xe958…66b7 | No on October 31, 2026 | $2.1K | – |
| 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE42110x2132…7657 | December 31, 2026 | $2.1K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 221 bets |
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No on December 31, 2026 | $2.0K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | No on October 31, 2026 | $1.9K | Proven+$20.88 per $100 · 540 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No on October 31, 2026 | $1.8K | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| RdogTest0x9908…062c | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.8K | – |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.8K | – |
| MerhabaKardesim0x3a23…0f72 | November 30, 2026 | $1.6K | Positive+$4.39 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | October 31, 2026 | $1.6K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | No on October 31, 2026 | $1.6K | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0x5c6e…0617 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.5K | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 328 bets |
| Noname3330x6c17…6a7e | No on October 31, 2026 | $1.5K | Proven+$4.18 per $100 · 460 bets |
| browne0xbf96…9942 | No on October 31, 2026 | $1.5K | Proven+$2.87 per $100 · 306 bets |
| ugfvdgh0x66aa…3ff5 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.4K | – |
| kljhbnjh0x79eb…44b2 | No on December 31, 2026 | $1.4K | – |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No on October 31, 2026 | $1.3K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | December 31, 2026 | $1.3K | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | No on October 31, 2026 | $1.0K | New56 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.