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Topic · Geopolitics
3 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 3
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 31
in 19 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? | December 31, 2026 | 42.5¢ | down 5 points this week | $92.8K |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:35 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
Yes minus No · across the 3 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No on December 31, 2026 | $8.6K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,062 bets |
| 202606010xb36c…1077 | December 31, 2026 | $6.4K | Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
| 0xc91b…93bd | December 31, 2026 | $3.5K | – |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No on December 31, 2026 | $3.0K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| 0805260x9ad7…4084 | No on December 31, 2026 | $2.8K | – |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No on October 31, 2026 | $2.7K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,401 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No on December 31, 2026 | $2.7K | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 5,710 bets |
| RogerFed0xe958…66b7 | No on October 31, 2026 | $2.1K | – |
| 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE42110x2132…7657 | December 31, 2026 | $2.1K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 221 bets |
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No on December 31, 2026 | $2.0K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.