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Topic · Geopolitics
3 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.4% of Polymarket
Events · markets
2 · 3
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 1
in 20 days
Proven traders lean December 31 · 1 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 3 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| SlenderMan0xab19…4876 | No on October 31 | $142.9K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 533 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:04 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| LlamaLoco00000x93fb…3e4a |
| December 31 |
| $74.6K |
| Proven+$10.70 per $100 · 391 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No on December 31 | $69.3K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 | No on December 31 | $49.0K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 444 bets |
| ppxtu0xfb57…0a46 | No on December 31 | $43.2K | New85 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No on October 31 | $38.5K | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831 bets |
| samemma0x52ab…c26c | No on December 31 | $34.3K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 179 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | December 31 | $33.6K | Positive+$2.59 per $100 · 773 bets |
| dwarf1230x8dc9…434f | No on October 31 | $32.9K | New9 bets |
| sbimbg0xf519…906b | No on December 31 | $31.7K | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 7,074 bets |
| BigBusinessPro0x71b5…1231 | No on December 31 | $28.7K | New1 settled bet |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | December 31 | $25.7K | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| Binturung0x9589…39b0 | No on December 31 | $24.2K | New61 bets |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | No on October 31 | $22.7K | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 639 bets |
| 0x16bb…8492 | No on December 31 | $22.2K | Losing−$1.86 per $100 · 1,634 bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | No on December 31 | $19.1K | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 4,515 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No on October 31 | $18.3K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| Specksalam0x80f1…3ccd | No on December 31 | $17.9K | New88 bets |
| NeH0x11fc…dc48 | No on December 31 | $14.4K | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 159 bets |
| moneychen0030x6fb9…05c7 | No on October 31 | $9.3K | New2 bets |
| fractal.cucumber0x0bd6…63e0 | No on December 31 | $9.1K | New4 bets |
| WizhardofOddz0x500e…79d4 | No on October 31 | $8.2K | New69 bets |
| 0xaca0…7f9c | No on October 31 | $7.8K | New0 bets |
| JSG30x0191…541d | No on December 31 | $7.5K | New18 bets |
| MoonLambo12050x49e9…8f85 | No on October 31 | $7.2K | Losing−$3.34 per $100 · 144 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.