Market · 10 of 43 outcomes
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 3,474 | 89.3¢ | $3.33K | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 1,758 | 89.1¢ | $1.68K | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| 0x4a80…e1ee | No | 1,050 | 94.5¢ | $1.01K | — |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No | 822 | 96.0¢ | $787 | Losing−$2.64 per $100 · 58,384+ bets · updating |
| 0x282e…e8e6 | Yes | 7,030 | 8.6¢ | $295 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 274 | 96.1¢ | $263 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| whippas0x039e…b073 | No | 231 | 93.2¢ | $221 | — |
| laborday250x3942…22d9 | No | 228 | 93.6¢ | $218 | — |
| jsand2290x5e56…dc9b | No | 133 | 93.3¢ | $127 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 126 | 91.7¢ | $121 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 70 | 71.0¢ | $67 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,390 | 10.5¢ | $58 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| yukonboi0x250e…e864 | No | 40 | 75.0¢ | $38 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 96.0¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 200 | 8.6¢ | $8 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 200 | 9.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 144 | 0.0¢ | $6 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 141 | 4.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 129 | 6.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 114 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 94 | 6.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 3 | 93.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 70 | 8.1¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | 67 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 62 | 3.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 40 | 4.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 283 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 28 | 8.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 4 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 3 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 2 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| RazuchiDISNEY0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 2 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 1 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| Thesickest0xcb23…8189 | No | 0 | 93.2¢ | $0 | — |
| DeepWaterMarkets-S00x5434…654b | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 0 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 4hmu7x6c0x97d2…199c | No | 0 | 97.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.81 per $100 · 29,827+ bets · updating |
| 0x7009…390a | Yes | 0 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.