Market · 8 of 9 outcomes
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3621…9da2 | Yes | 2,015 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 1,231 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.34 per $100 · 4,485 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 293 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 264 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,087 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 245 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 212 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,637 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 170 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,974 bets |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | Yes | 169 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tamalaile0x1e69…e777 | Yes | 152 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 147 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 136 | 3.1¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 132 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 130 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 126 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,249 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 102 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 100 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | 96 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 95 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,985 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 92 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 70 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 50 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 159,251+ bets · updating |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 47 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 45 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 25 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x69f0…fb27 | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 17 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 10 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| DeepWaterMarkets0x861e…36f6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 9 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 8 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| 3-mil-on-tour0x7595…872e | Yes | 6 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Ispanez0x8ee3…923f | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| vitalikbt0xd562…6912 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 5 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| ElonButler0x83f5…4ae3 | Yes | 4 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Xyk0010x3028…92b5 | Yes | 1 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 1 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 0 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 107 events · $6.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.