Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James-Talarico0x4262…abaa | Yes | 980 | 72.4¢ | $813 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| ChiangWan-an0x0d5e…5c24 | Yes | 315 | 77.0¢ | $261 | Break-even−$0.93 per $100 · 1,861 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 1,144 | 26.1¢ | $194 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| awei020x4fad…d264 | Yes | 160 | 82.2¢ | $133 | Losing−$2.73 per $100 · 944 bets |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 130 | 77.6¢ | $108 | — |
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 | Yes | 99 | 53.6¢ | $82 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 5 outcomes add up to 104.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.