Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will Chang Chun win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 20 | 91.8¢ | $19 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 419 | 10.3¢ | $18 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| James-Talarico0x4262…abaa | No | 11 | 76.2¢ | $11 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 51 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 39 | 8.3¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| 0xd823…12fe | No | 2 | 90.0¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 5 outcomes add up to 104.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.