Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will Yeh Yao-hui win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 155 | 6.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 131 | 8.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 100 | 3.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 60 | 1.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 55 | 19.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 47 | 20.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 5 outcomes add up to 103.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.