Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will Lo Pei-chin win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 4 | 96.2¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 147 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 119 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 100 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 84 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| IntaSewer0xbe60…c2f7 | Yes | 58 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 5 outcomes add up to 104.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.