Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will Wei Chia-hsien win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 180 | 87.0¢ | $158 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 405 | 15.8¢ | $51 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| James-Talarico0x4262…abaa | No | 50 | 80.0¢ | $44 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 293 | 13.8¢ | $37 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| awei020x4fad…d264 | No | 35 | 86.4¢ | $31 | Losing−$2.73 per $100 · 944 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 86 | 14.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
These 5 outcomes add up to 104.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.