Market · 11 of 53 outcomes
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 14 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wesmooreluvr0xfa7d…2bdc | Yes | 680,287 | 3.6¢ | $13.3K | — |
| ISMS22220xc109…1ad2 | Yes | 298,206 | 1.5¢ | $5.82K | Proven+$9.99 per $100 · 129 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| VorVZakone0xe4c9…6ef7 |
| Yes |
| 253,939 |
| 2.7¢ |
| $4.95K |
| — |
| fsx450x133b…2f22 | Yes | 233,284 | 1.2¢ | $4.55K | Proven+$4.97 per $100 · 403 bets |
| 0xf559…f462 | Yes | 173,517 | 1.7¢ | $3.38K | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 746 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 116,734 | 0.7¢ | $2.28K | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | Yes | 110,071 | 1.8¢ | $2.15K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 69,849 | 0.4¢ | $1.36K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| KLantz970x2352…4fe6 | Yes | 66,938 | 3.2¢ | $1.31K | New4 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 64,121 | 1.6¢ | $1.25K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Geminae.Columbae0x61ea…bbf7 | Yes | 59,170 | 1.6¢ | $1.15K | New98 settled bets |
| getter0x9aab…6a2d | Yes | 58,233 | 1.5¢ | $1.14K | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 55,157 | 1.3¢ | $1.08K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| thanks4playing0xaa6e…04fe | Yes | 50,000 | 1.6¢ | $975 | New9 settled bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 46,150 | 1.1¢ | $900 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| alunags0x429b…2ff7 | Yes | 44,132 | 1.3¢ | $861 | New6 settled bets |
| patrickreiss0xcd3c…a801 | Yes | 42,993 | 1.3¢ | $838 | — |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 37,004 | 1.0¢ | $722 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 700 | 95.0¢ | $686 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| johndoez0x6f87…f277 | Yes | 32,615 | 5.6¢ | $636 | Proven+$12.94 per $100 · 155 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 30,747 | 1.6¢ | $600 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 29,889 | 1.2¢ | $583 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| pax0xbfee…7272 | Yes | 29,787 | 2.0¢ | $581 | New32 settled bets |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 24,000 | 1.4¢ | $468 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 23,555 | 1.4¢ | $459 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 22,809 | 3.0¢ | $445 | New66 settled bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 21,756 | 1.2¢ | $424 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | Yes | 20,000 | 1.2¢ | $390 | — |
| loaway0x63ef…ceef | No | 362 | 98.1¢ | $355 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 17,944 | 1.5¢ | $350 | — |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 17,918 | 2.4¢ | $349 | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 16,634 | 4.0¢ | $324 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| DonnieBannon0xf5c8…430c | Yes | 16,250 | 1.4¢ | $317 | — |
| Ravid Jones0x4ccb…fa92 | Yes | 15,814 | 2.2¢ | $308 | New20 settled bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 15,373 | 0.7¢ | $300 | New41 settled bets |
| MattPMP0x02e8…d63e | Yes | 15,000 | 1.4¢ | $293 | New58 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,840 | 1.6¢ | $289 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,146 | 0.8¢ | $237 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 12,000 | 1.4¢ | $234 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| Muzzinator0xe5f7…04dc | Yes | 10,996 | 1.7¢ | $214 | — |
| Forrester260x1a85…c99a | Yes | 10,667 | 1.6¢ | $208 | New1 settled bet |
| Carpool0x4e61…82ee | Yes | 10,667 | 1.6¢ | $208 | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 131 bets |
| Stevenssss0x3099…5fb6 | No | 203 | 98.7¢ | $199 | New27 settled bets |
| ileyw0x0d26…0276 | No | 202 | 98.8¢ | $198 | New42 settled bets |
| sono.pazzo0x98f2…3992 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.1¢ | $195 | — |
| mpilb0x3bc4…41e4 | Yes | 10,000 | 3.0¢ | $195 | New13 settled bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 9,448 | 1.2¢ | $184 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| OleBobbyBobBob0xc5b9…9687 | Yes | 8,393 | 2.2¢ | $164 | — |
| Fcarlsson60xad67…992a | Yes | 7,692 | 1.4¢ | $150 | — |
| oruz0x80ef…3973 | No | 152 | 98.5¢ | $149 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $146 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | Yes | 6,635 | 1.6¢ | $129 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 6,555 | 1.4¢ | $128 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| spreadwatcher0x0908…d5e3 | Yes | 6,302 | 3.3¢ | $123 | New4 settled bets |
| laurennelson0x4ab1…e85f | No | 95 | 98.7¢ | $93 | New90 settled bets |
| 0xf40e…ff76 | No | 85 | 98.4¢ | $83 | — |
| TronDado010x0b7f…8c1d | No | 79 | 98.3¢ | $77 | New19 settled bets |
| antihypehypeclub0x5ec0…bf54 | No | 76 | 98.4¢ | $75 | — |
| yuyumomo0x7279…35d8 | No | 62 | 98.1¢ | $61 | — |
| bigfishlittlefish0x7527…d880 | No | 62 | 98.4¢ | $60 | — |
| qwertira0x0f23…babe | No | 57 | 98.4¢ | $56 | New36 settled bets |
| muskelonovna0x9cdb…886f | No | 57 | 98.4¢ | $56 | — |
| vazya7770x5905…eb60 | No | 57 | 98.4¢ | $55 | — |
| stephenperez0x4c34…0717 | No | 55 | 98.5¢ | $54 | New30 settled bets |
| SberSosibo0x4eb2…c39f | No | 55 | 98.3¢ | $54 | New42 settled bets |
| BilliH0x9253…b38c | No | 55 | 97.9¢ | $54 | — |
| hamud-habibi0xb47f…7137 | No | 54 | 98.4¢ | $53 | — |
| gumixteto0x633d…f7db | No | 54 | 98.3¢ | $53 | — |
| jamkar0x2198…d9d4 | No | 54 | 98.4¢ | $53 | New33 settled bets |
| lalelalel0x80a3…10c6 | No | 53 | 98.4¢ | $52 | — |
| muhammed671gamez0x92e3…e820 | No | 51 | 98.4¢ | $50 | — |
| Longpp0xcf5f…622f | No | 51 | 98.1¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 50 | 94.2¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Pendeho120x905e…32c8 | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $49 | — |
| mascarpone365020xe168…0f95 | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | No | 50 | 93.0¢ | $49 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| Farshmak640x8199…3a57 | No | 50 | 98.2¢ | $49 | — |
| nutshack0xc73e…1b1c | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $49 | — |
| Saas-serpient0x9a71…163c | No | 48 | 98.4¢ | $47 | — |
| 12smartik0x21bb…03bf | No | 45 | 98.2¢ | $44 | New13 settled bets |
| jiusgide0xf249…ae37 | No | 44 | 0.0¢ | $43 | — |
| QQLDclan0x3d23…60fb | No | 42 | 98.5¢ | $42 | New13 settled bets |
| BobbaFatt0xef47…fe87 | No | 41 | 98.6¢ | $40 | — |
| AA94ZZ0x1bc2…cc89 | No | 38 | 98.3¢ | $37 | New14 settled bets |
| Fanny0x7e20…1a4d | No | 34 | 98.4¢ | $34 | — |
14 accounts bet both sides equally · 15.7K shares each side · Show
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