Market · 44 of 71 outcomes
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 614 | 77.2¢ | $506 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 160 | 83.2¢ | $132 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| 0x38d5…063c | No | 96 | 75.7¢ | $79 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,172 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 393 | 14.6¢ | $69 | — |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 300 | 25.0¢ | $52 | New6 settled bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 51 | 68.8¢ | $42 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | No | 40 | 76.5¢ | $33 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 125 | 23.0¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| abc30x22a4…13e5 | No | 25 | 90.0¢ | $21 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $17 | — |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 19 | 62.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$5.66 per $100 · 1,489 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 80 | 20.7¢ | $14 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 80 | 36.9¢ | $14 | — |
| Celestibus0xd4b1…9440 | Yes | 44 | 23.5¢ | $8 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 3 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 31.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play