Market · 4 of 19 outcomes
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
7 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 1,975 | 89.0¢ | $1.79K | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 250 | 85.0¢ | $226 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | 92 | 91.0¢ | $83 | — |
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | No | 583 | 59.9¢ | $55 | Proven+$6.23 per $100 · 4,942 bets |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | Yes | 49 | 84.0¢ | $45 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 357 | 9.8¢ | $34 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |