Market · 8 of 19 outcomes
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 161 | 24.0¢ | $67 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| Cattail0xc4c1…7324 | No | 51 | 87.5¢ | $30 | — |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | No | 48 | 69.7¢ | $28 | — |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | Yes | 60 | 34.0¢ | $25 | — |
| buyat890x4429…fcbd | No | 40 | 86.0¢ | $23 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 28 | 75.0¢ | $16 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
7 more outcomes in this event.