Market · 7 of 19 outcomes
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 161 | 24.0¢ | $65 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| Cattail0xc4c1…7324 | No | 51 | 87.5¢ | $30 | — |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | No | 48 | 69.7¢ | $29 | — |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | Yes | 60 | 34.0¢ | $24 | — |
| buyat890x4429…fcbd | No | 40 | 86.0¢ | $24 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 28 | 75.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| 0xOTd0x79a8…bb66 | No | 25 | 78.0¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 541 bets |
| 0x38b4…cfa2 | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $12 | — |
| dekivagyok0x7fa1…deeb | Yes | 20 | 16.5¢ | $8 | — |
| Compound-570xfd47…805a | No | 13 | 80.0¢ | $7 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 10 | 77.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| peixaobjj0x9d0d…807d | No | 9 | 53.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 6 | 76.0¢ | $4 | — |
| BetterDeadThanRed0xe77b…4938 | No | 5 | 79.0¢ | $3 | — |
| romanew-1-new0x7438…b741 | Yes | 5 | 21.0¢ | $2 | — |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | Yes | 5 | 22.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.19 per $100 · 465 bets |
| linnie28beef0x92a1…4d15 | Yes | 4 | 25.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | No | 2 | 90.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 3 | 24.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| mountaingreen0xb79f…d749 | Yes | 1 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.