Market · 2 of 19 outcomes
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
7 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 1,284 | 84.4¢ | $1.22K | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee0x64b4…b21e | Yes | 151 | 89.3¢ | $143 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 109 | 99.0¢ | $103 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
| oakme0x208f…69d7 | Yes | 75 | 85.9¢ | $71 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 40 | 68.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x2aa2…36f6 | No | 383 | 10.4¢ | $20 | — |