Market · 4 of 19 outcomes
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 1,284 | 84.4¢ | $1.17K | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee0x64b4…b21e | Yes | 151 | 89.3¢ | $138 | Positive+$11.62 per $100 · 216 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 109 | 99.0¢ | $99 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| oakme0x208f…69d7 | Yes | 75 | 85.9¢ | $68 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 40 | 68.0¢ | $36 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x2aa2…36f6 | No | 383 | 10.4¢ | $34 | — |
| kitty070xe84f…af9c | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 194 | 10.7¢ | $17 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 175 | 1.7¢ | $15 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 124 | 14.1¢ | $11 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| Toby7790xe892…18db | No | 113 | 8.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x149e…7958 | Yes | 11 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| FishHunter0x676c…ce51 | No | 111 | 9.1¢ | $10 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 102 | 10.3¢ | $9 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | 65 | 7.7¢ | $6 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 60 | 31.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 59 | 10.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 55 | 10.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| iminmymomscarbroombroom0x2eae…8d29 | Yes | 5 | 97.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 350 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 5 | 87.8¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | 5 | 71.0¢ | $5 | — |
| gatumu0x54e9…3b36 | No | 50 | 10.0¢ | $4 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 4 | 95.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | No | 40 | 37.5¢ | $4 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 27 | 44.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| 0x29cd…e6f3 | No | 26 | 4.6¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 21 | 15.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 43.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| zzmdc20x5354…50e7 | No | 20 | 43.0¢ | $2 | — |
| matheuscb20x6ae6…c22d | No | 15 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lazygoth310x792e…e25d | No | 10 | 9.9¢ | $1 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | No | 10 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| vno0xf6df…65b1 | No | 9 | 10.6¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 8 | 12.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | No | 8 | 9.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.06 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 3 | 11.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | No | 0 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.