Market · 6 of 19 outcomes
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
7 more outcomes in this event.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 281 | 35.1¢ | $153 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 192 | 69.3¢ | $87 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 |
| Yes |
| 67 |
| 28.7¢ |
| $37 |
| Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| 0x1308…45c6 | No | 78 | 64.0¢ | $36 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 50 | 67.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 43 | 67.0¢ | $20 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,255 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 22 shares each side · Show
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