Market · 8 of 19 outcomes
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 192 | 69.3¢ | $120 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 281 | 35.1¢ | $105 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x1308…45c6 | No | 72 | 64.0¢ | $45 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 50 | 67.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 43 | 67.0¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,267 bets |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 67 | 28.7¢ | $25 | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| 0xOTd0x79a8…bb66 | No | 40 | 72.0¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 541 bets |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 35 | 10.0¢ | $13 | Positive+$3.84 per $100 · 8,686 bets |
| 0xbb90…2335 | Yes | 19 | 51.0¢ | $7 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 10 | 64.5¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | 10 | 33.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 5 | 62.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| 5-testfollower-car0x3be5…f7fe | No | 5 | 67.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 808 bets |
| 0x6515…b867 | Yes | 5 | 15.0¢ | $2 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 68.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 22 shares each side · Show
|