Market · 4 of 19 outcomes
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 1,975 | 89.0¢ | $1.8K | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 250 | 85.0¢ | $228 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | 92 | 91.0¢ | $84 | — |
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | No | 583 | 59.9¢ | $52 | Proven+$6.23 per $100 · 4,942 bets |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | Yes | 49 | 84.0¢ | $45 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 357 | 9.8¢ | $32 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | No | 330 | 12.9¢ | $30 | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| grbn0xcbf7…0b92 | No | 307 | 16.3¢ | $28 | — |
| vno0xf6df…65b1 | No | 169 | 16.7¢ | $15 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 16 | 40.6¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 13 | 58.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| 0x2aa2…36f6 | No | 133 | 15.1¢ | $12 | — |
| Penooooo0x615f…5f37 | No | 120 | 5.0¢ | $11 | — |
| iminmymomscarbroombroom0x2eae…8d29 | Yes | 10 | 97.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 350 bets |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | 10 | 81.5¢ | $9 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 85 | 2.5¢ | $8 | — |
| FishHunter0x676c…ce51 | No | 70 | 10.0¢ | $6 | — |
| yetiyetiyeti0x9cfc…3671 | Yes | 5 | 93.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | Yes | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 48 | 49.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| romanew-1-new0x7438…b741 | No | 44 | 17.0¢ | $4 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 38 | 28.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | 38 | 7.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 09F911029D740x4247…455f | No | 28 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 27 | 2.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| bugum10xaa72…8cb1 | No | 24 | 7.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x703b…2320 | Yes | 2 | 21.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf977…666d | Yes | 1 | 95.9¢ | $1 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | No | 10 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 9 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| MakNak0xcd97…afa4 | No | 6 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | 5 | 64.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| Blackwaterddd0xe09e…deb3 | No | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | New37 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.