Market · 16 of 43 outcomes
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 572,338 | 0.2¢ | $2K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | Yes | 496,000 | 0.2¢ | $1.74K | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 319,000 | 0.4¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 303,649 | 0.4¢ | $1.06K | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 108,497 | 0.2¢ | $380 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 106,092 | 0.7¢ | $371 | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 88,248 | 0.5¢ | $309 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,317 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 67,401 | 0.7¢ | $236 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| gitano990xb4cd…6e27 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.2¢ | $175 | — |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 39,967 | 0.4¢ | $140 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 37,340 | 0.7¢ | $131 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $105 | Losing−$3.39 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 7G-MAN0x6c97…988c | Yes | 28,778 | 0.0¢ | $101 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $88 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 23,000 | 0.3¢ | $80 | Proven+$4.02 per $100 · 132 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 20,000 | 0.4¢ | $70 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 68 | 99.6¢ | $68 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 17,500 | 0.2¢ | $61 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $59 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.3¢ | $53 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| dodged-a-bullet0xc288…3480 | Yes | 14,500 | 0.5¢ | $51 | Positive+$5.97 per $100 · 1,683 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 13,449 | 0.3¢ | $47 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 13,000 | 0.3¢ | $45 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 12,692 | 0.8¢ | $44 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,223 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 12,551 | 0.0¢ | $44 | New0 settled bets |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.4¢ | $38 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $37 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,898 | 0.8¢ | $31 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,293 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 8,041 | 0.8¢ | $28 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,679 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 7,450 | 0.4¢ | $26 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 5,870 | 0.4¢ | $21 | — |
| 0f7a0x5e73…464f | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 5,671 | 0.6¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| flow-trader-at-optiver0x1584…71b6 | Yes | 5,580 | 0.8¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 6,776 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 5,118 | 0.7¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| plumbis0x77fb…266c | Yes | 5,028 | 0.4¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 137 bets |
| coldwaterkayakers0xfdff…d544 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $18 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 4,137 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 4,042 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| uiku780x121a…7e36 | No | 13 | 99.6¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,700 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 3,649 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| MHMH60xe3ed…a659 | No | 13 | 99.6¢ | $13 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $12 | — |
| LynxTitan0x6814…a9e7 | Yes | 3,330 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 59,740 bets |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 3,200 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| lileddy1230xf62e…eda7 | Yes | 3,100 | 0.2¢ | $11 | — |
| McLovinnnnn0x4975…7e40 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.4¢ | $11 | — |
| BigFishSushiChief0x9b9f…a26a | Yes | 2,811 | 0.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 1,014 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 2,589 | 0.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| JeanCook3010x2b6a…75f5 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Calibrator0x14bb…882b | Yes | 2,204 | 0.4¢ | $8 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 2,142 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 2,055 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| ukyuik70x6f25…c886 | No | 6 | 99.6¢ | $6 | — |
| Terry45610x7215…7301 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Kuukskes0x0705…1175 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 562 bets |
| Arthur77130x288f…c06d | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| vigfood4040xd57b…daf2 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | New20 settled bets |
| JuliaHaynes4080x6c83…9a18 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Dorothy51360x7f6e…7803 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| feldupp0x2865…b66d | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| mouaispasmal0x3d61…6c1f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| kayzennn0x718d…737f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 450 bets |
| compteeeee60xa3c7…3e1f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.