Market · 38 of 43 outcomes
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,838,300 | 0.8¢ | $919 | New15 settled bets |
| 0x5b67…f323 | No | 548 | 99.4¢ | $548 | — |
| 028dasfv0x3a94…1a0e | No | 533 | 99.3¢ | $533 | — |
| 0x7cd6…b492 | No | 521 | 99.4¢ | $521 | — |
| 0x1ef7…b29b | No | 519 | 99.3¢ | $519 | — |
| zqwd20x7259…27a4 | No | 518 | 99.4¢ | $518 | — |
| 9i9oji0x87b4…8c96 | No | 512 | 99.4¢ | $512 | — |
| 0x9bef…6599 | No | 512 | 99.3¢ | $512 | — |
| 0xbfb2…cac9 | No | 512 | 99.3¢ | $512 | — |
| 8sdhf0x569b…106f | No | 502 | 99.4¢ | $502 | — |
| 43rt4wy45t0x21b0…4804 | No | 501 | 99.2¢ | $501 | — |
| mllj0770x441f…6be6 | No | 487 | 99.3¢ | $487 | — |
| AlfonzoRider0x67bd…280d | No | 390 | 99.4¢ | $390 | — |
| ArdenValley0x8cca…a619 | No | 204 | 99.1¢ | $204 | — |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $152 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| markscaroline0xabbd…16e6 | No | 113 | 99.8¢ | $113 | — |
| 0xe534…6319 | No | 103 | 98.8¢ | $103 | — |
| fostershelby0x5cd8…5b55 | No | 101 | 99.8¢ | $101 | — |
| sallyochoa0xdd59…da2e | No | 94 | 99.8¢ | $94 | — |
| odomjoseph0x0c90…1884 | No | 90 | 99.8¢ | $90 | — |
| sandramacdonald0x449c…908c | No | 90 | 99.8¢ | $90 | — |
| jasoncochran0x0346…9873 | No | 85 | 99.8¢ | $85 | — |
| lekimberly0x5fad…f562 | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| bradleybryan0x75ad…f02d | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| mallory770xa1ed…0fce | No | 84 | 99.9¢ | $84 | — |
| janet960x1fcb…e3d7 | No | 74 | 99.9¢ | $74 | — |
| markharris0x258b…e2ac | No | 74 | 99.9¢ | $74 | — |
| stevensonadam0x7b85…579e | No | 65 | 99.8¢ | $65 | — |
| marc660xea1a…25aa | No | 62 | 99.9¢ | $62 | — |
| piup0xc5f7…10a4 | No | 60 | 99.2¢ | $60 | — |
| znunez0xe3bf…846d | No | 59 | 99.8¢ | $59 | — |
| dmiranda0x98b2…ada2 | No | 58 | 99.9¢ | $58 | — |
| stevendiaz0xbf8b…98c3 | No | 58 | 99.9¢ | $58 | — |
| kittyJJ0x7a72…b63c | No | 55 | 99.4¢ | $55 | — |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 108,316 | 0.4¢ | $54 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| sunyangel0x3d2b…cdb3 | No | 51 | 99.5¢ | $51 | — |
| b9f801dc0x92de…5ff6 | No | 51 | 99.5¢ | $51 | — |
| sleepd0xcb44…0931 | No | 48 | 98.6¢ | $48 | — |
| eretgre0xbfe7…2334 | No | 45 | 99.5¢ | $45 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | No | 37 | 96.4¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| bingbingli0x2da1…551a | No | 37 | 99.4¢ | $37 | — |
| jikexun0xb310…6df3 | No | 35 | 99.4¢ | $35 | — |
| 1786560xefce…abf2 | No | 34 | 99.0¢ | $34 | — |
| colboy0x304c…b486 | No | 30 | 99.3¢ | $30 | — |
| 6611230xf389…3e7a | No | 27 | 99.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x3476…e134 | No | 27 | 98.8¢ | $27 | — |
| 34TERFGTER0x3f13…10fb | No | 26 | 99.4¢ | $26 | — |
| trumb0xa794…689c | No | 25 | 99.1¢ | $25 | — |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 45,640 | 0.8¢ | $23 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| KKKJ660x626a…fb47 | No | 22 | 98.5¢ | $22 | — |
| xingyiyun0xe7c2…6484 | No | 21 | 99.0¢ | $21 | — |
| Johnsns0xcab1…0cdf | No | 21 | 99.5¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xe2c8…c0ff | No | 19 | 99.5¢ | $19 | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 26,000 | 0.4¢ | $13 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 25,656 | 0.3¢ | $13 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 20,998 | 0.2¢ | $10 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| Ali1231230x7b17…5246 | Yes | 13,333 | 1.5¢ | $7 | — |
| Balph0x1ea6…87b9 | Yes | 12,500 | 0.8¢ | $6 | — |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 12,500 | 0.8¢ | $6 | — |
| AleksKa0x52c3…9fec | Yes | 10,863 | 0.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2255…a674 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$59.48 per $100 · 230 bets |
| etar0x0c15…944d | Yes | 10,000 | 0.6¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 9,474 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 8,922 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 8,888 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 6,000 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 5,568 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 4,699 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 3,260 | 0.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| hdfvrther0x31cc…a91f | Yes | 3,000 | 1.1¢ | $2 | New22 settled bets |
| 0xd1ad…889a | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 2,620 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 2,238 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 0x43cd…bf40 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4911…bbf7 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcab0…8705 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,304 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 1,299 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| bbottuy0x8e08…e6f5 | Yes | 1,276 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 1,273 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420250x8929…733e | Yes | 1,250 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| for-the-lulz0x61e2…4958 | Yes | 1,111 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 1,100 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,042 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2284…e3b8 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x54d9…266e | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| imagineall0x5ba8…2bdf | Yes | 1,000 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x745e…b1cc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| hwinkyy0x82cf…b26e | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9679…d59e | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa3a3…275b | Yes | 1,000 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb241…7dbb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 92 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.