Market · 66 of 71 outcomes
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 689 | 87.8¢ | $625 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 150 | 90.4¢ | $136 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 33 | 90.2¢ | $30 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 207 | 10.5¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 19 | 0.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 168 | 10.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 150 | 13.4¢ | $14 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 120 | 9.5¢ | $11 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 73 | 14.2¢ | $7 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 50 | 10.0¢ | $5 | — |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 35 | 14.2¢ | $3 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 25 | 10.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 25.0¢ | $2 | — |
| oilstud0xf538…7c7c | Yes | 14 | 13.5¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 12 | 7.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 11 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 5 | 12.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 2 | 10.1¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 83.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| razuchiTWO0x6cb1…0f6e | No | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | No | 0 | 92.6¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiDISNEY0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | No | 0 | 92.6¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | No | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play