Market · 5 of 35 outcomes
Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 285 | 0.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 263 | 0.8¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 142 | 5.1¢ | $7 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0x746b…13be | Yes | 119 | 4.9¢ | $6 | — |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $5 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 99 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 95 | 2.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 92 | 5.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 4 | 98.2¢ | $4 | — |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | 52 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 50 | 5.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 41 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 1p0nh5oocr640xf56c…837a | Yes | 21 | 5.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 20 | 10.8¢ | $1 | — |
| bravoda0x2a30…ff9a | Yes | 18 | 20.7¢ | $1 | — |
| username900x8af2…b5e7 | Yes | 11 | 9.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 5.3¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 10 | 11.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 85.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 4 | 7.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 2 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 2 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ontouch0x605e…8b39 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TraderProMax0x9474…5091 | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 0 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.