Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 19,829 | 54.8¢ | $12.6K | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 4,063 | 64.9¢ | $2.58K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| 0x5b91…2709 | Yes | 2,549 | 56.2¢ | $1.62K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 1,151 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 2,101 | 55.9¢ | $1.33K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | No | 3,365 | 50.9¢ | $1.23K | Positive+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | Yes | 1,800 | 55.7¢ | $1.14K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 305 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,000 | 64.5¢ | $635 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,098 bets |
| pmcb0xa569…96ec | Yes | 1,000 | 63.0¢ | $635 | New60 settled bets |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | No | 1,273 | 45.1¢ | $465 | — |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | No | 1,207 | 39.8¢ | $441 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 32,577 bets |
| kodema0xd7dd…378e | Yes | 600 | 57.5¢ | $381 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 500 | 56.1¢ | $318 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 445 | 39.5¢ | $162 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 370 | 34.0¢ | $135 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 206 | 63.3¢ | $131 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 337 | 49.2¢ | $123 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 185 | 20.0¢ | $117 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | Yes | 165 | 65.1¢ | $105 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 150 | 56.2¢ | $95 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 221 | 37.8¢ | $81 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,906 bets |
| .-10xbb7d…b6ed | No | 202 | 42.2¢ | $74 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 200 | 38.0¢ | $73 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 196 | 45.2¢ | $72 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| Jackkwok0xb91b…8510 | Yes | 102 | 62.2¢ | $65 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 100 | 65.0¢ | $64 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $64 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 153 | 47.0¢ | $56 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| happy000xd576…b8f4 | Yes | 86 | 62.0¢ | $55 | New71 settled bets |
| zeitfi-vault-v20x6ae0…b747 | Yes | 83 | 56.4¢ | $52 | — |
| JotaFoward0xe99f…7ce9 | Yes | 81 | 65.6¢ | $51 | — |
| cmnd7w0xa39d…511b | No | 126 | 37.0¢ | $46 | — |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | Yes | 71 | 49.1¢ | $45 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| 0x0218…41ae | No | 111 | 37.2¢ | $41 | New92 settled bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 101 | 47.2¢ | $37 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,154 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 100 | 37.0¢ | $37 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Playpool0xd628…a698 | Yes | 57 | 59.2¢ | $36 | — |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 50 | 62.2¢ | $32 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | Yes | 50 | 58.0¢ | $32 | — |
| riitmo0xbfb3…f890 | Yes | 50 | 64.0¢ | $32 | — |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | No | 81 | 38.0¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| frontiertrade0xbcc4…fbde | No | 80 | 37.0¢ | $29 | — |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 45 | 66.1¢ | $29 | — |
| obscure10x8268…e7fd | No | 75 | 38.0¢ | $27 | Losing−$8.89 per $100 · 1,890 bets |
| 0xdbae…9720 | No | 70 | 50.2¢ | $26 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 37.0¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 59 | 36.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| doddo120x130d…3615 | No | 50 | 57.0¢ | $18 | — |
| LeChatonFat0x9629…ee15 | No | 50 | 41.0¢ | $18 | — |
| cedriss0xe086…0450 | No | 50 | 37.1¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xa986…30f6 | No | 50 | 37.0¢ | $18 | — |
| leectram20x0d4f…000e | No | 46 | 46.2¢ | $17 | Losing−$4.87 per $100 · 2,185 bets |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | 25 | 63.2¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 13,936 bets |
| balabalababalabala0x2779…239a | Yes | 23 | 56.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$4.35 per $100 · 2,323 bets |
| johnnyboi555550x74d4…8fcd | Yes | 20 | 56.0¢ | $13 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | No | 33 | 39.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| 0x14a1…9912 | No | 33 | 59.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | No | 30 | 44.2¢ | $11 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| 0x11b5…8c02 | Yes | 14 | 56.0¢ | $9 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 24 | 35.3¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Testingme0x9ebd…5537 | No | 23 | 45.2¢ | $8 | — |
| qifi0xd42f…1316 | No | 20 | 37.3¢ | $7 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 11 | 66.3¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 10 | 56.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 16 | 43.7¢ | $6 | — |
| krstnrdlls0x5c90…e4f4 | Yes | 9 | 59.2¢ | $5 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 51.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | No | 10 | 57.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 9,333 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 52.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| yrnmv0xcc37…afb6 | No | 8 | 42.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | Yes | 4 | 57.0¢ | $3 | — |
| majkelito770x7af0…e324 | Yes | 3 | 65.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | No | 5 | 36.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | Yes | 2 | 65.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 3 | 36.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 2 | 60.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| zhuxinjianbtc0xb845…a7c1 | Yes | 2 | 64.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa1ee…b31c | Yes | 2 | 66.8¢ | $1 | — |
| hoanganhfairy0xea24…fe41 | Yes | 2 | 66.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x29f0…b56f | No | 2 | 46.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 2 | 44.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | Yes | 1 | 57.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No | 2 | 38.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 66,345 bets |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 1 | 39.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pmt-quiet-owl0xdeb2…3d10 | No | 1 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 1 | 41.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Morarin0xc49c…71f1 | No | 1 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | No | 0 | 38.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 35.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.