Market · 3 of 17 outcomes
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lassenstr0x53d6…055a | No | 1,119 | 83.7¢ | $974 | New26 settled bets |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 339 | 86.4¢ | $295 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| 0x0363…cac1 | No | 108 | 86.8¢ | $94 | New79 settled bets |
| 0xa848…8a1f | No | 94 | 84.6¢ | $82 | — |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | Yes | 464 | 9.9¢ | $60 | Positive+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| inno0x94d8…37e6 | Yes | 252 | 29.4¢ | $33 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 212 | 15.4¢ | $28 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,982+ bets · updating |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | Yes | 204 | 17.6¢ | $27 | — |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 27 | 90.4¢ | $23 | — |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No | 25 | 85.0¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 144 | 8.8¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 15 | 88.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 1,674 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | Yes | 100 | 13.5¢ | $13 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 329 bets |
| 0x8c07…2967 | Yes | 100 | 13.2¢ | $13 | — |
| WarriorPooh0x853c…bd03 | No | 12 | 62.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$9.67 per $100 · 733 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 74 | 14.2¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 48 | 18.0¢ | $6 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 5 | 76.1¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 5 | 73.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Plankton70x4829…43e3 | Yes | 29 | 52.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Grod-an0xba1b…d035 | No | 4 | 82.6¢ | $3 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 24 | 13.7¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 24 | 14.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 21 | 8.0¢ | $3 | — |
| lievre0xc4ba…68fa | Yes | 20 | 7.5¢ | $3 | — |
| VioletLong0x59d4…273b | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| nudde0x27d2…f2ee | Yes | 11 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 11 | 6.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 14,285 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 9 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 6 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | Yes | 4 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 3 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 3 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| R18helloworld0xce31…19c4 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 0 | 33.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 230 bets |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 309 bets |
| DaveDD0xc6b2…3caa | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| yyyyyyy0x3143…81b1 | No | 0 | 72.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.31 per $100 · 679 bets |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | No | 0 | 54.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LarBotPrime0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | 0 | 16.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 213 bets |
| 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | 0 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 15.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 111 events · $6.12M in play