Market · 5 of 9 outcomes
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 12 | 89.5¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 152 | 10.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 101 | 11.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 100 | 10.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| SC2610010xa2c0…cbe8 | Yes | 50 | 7.3¢ | $2 | — |
| HeronGu0x91eb…6335 | Yes | 43 | 7.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ramc20050x57a8…d092 | Yes | 10 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 9 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 7 | 6.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.