Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 20.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 20.6¢ | +1.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 24.0¢ | +4.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 55.7¢ | +36.2 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 19¢.
About $45.6K can be bought and $33.1K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 19.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 20:17 UTC.
Fed decision · October 2026 · 1 event · $4.77M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
375 traders bet this week. 7 bets were $10K or more, and $51.5K of that went on Yes, mostly on Oct 8.