Loading this topic
Topic · Macro
5 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
1.5% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 5
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 29
in 17 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in October? | No change | 83.5¢ | – | $4.63M |
Yes minus No · across the 5 main markets
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:37 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erasmus.0xc658…b784 | No change | $328.2K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 875 bets |
| pako0x71ed…d338 | No change | $256.5K | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| gaven-willwin0xfbe6…00f8 | No change | $255.4K | New35 bets |
| Vilgefortz0x3c91…9af7 | No change | $251.3K | Proven+$4.21 per $100 · 360 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No change | $204.7K | Losing−$6.83 per $100 · 218,207 bets |
| MysticFind0x7cf9…2798 | No change | $186.6K | Positive+$1.93 per $100 · 119 bets |
| Ronaldo21000x71ca…3501 | No change | $180.9K | Proven+$4.30 per $100 · 567 bets |
| ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1c | No on 25 bps decrease | $99.5K | Proven+$4.52 per $100 · 1,293 bets |
| 0x6302…7917 | No change | $98.5K | Positive+$3.34 per $100 · 114 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No on 25 bps decrease | $82.1K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.