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Topic · Macro
5 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
1.5% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 5
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 29
in 17 days
Proven traders lean No change · 3 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 5 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erasmus.0xc658…b784 | No change | $328.2K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 875 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:45 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| No change |
| $256.5K |
| Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| gaven-willwin0xfbe6…00f8 | No change | $255.4K | New35 bets |
| Vilgefortz0x3c91…9af7 | No change | $251.3K | Proven+$4.21 per $100 · 360 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No change | $204.7K | Losing−$7.08 per $100 · 225,331 bets |
| MysticFind0x7cf9…2798 | No change | $186.6K | Positive+$1.93 per $100 · 119 bets |
| Ronaldo21000x71ca…3501 | No change | $180.9K | Proven+$4.30 per $100 · 567 bets |
| ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1c | No on 25 bps decrease | $99.3K | Proven+$4.52 per $100 · 1,293 bets |
| 0x6302…7917 | No change | $98.5K | Positive+$3.34 per $100 · 114 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No on 25 bps decrease | $82.0K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| 0xf559…f462 | No on 25 bps increase | $81.0K | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 746 bets |
| faceverification0xde58…f55c | No change | $64.5K | New35 bets |
| Aeglos0xb665…bf8f | No change | $58.6K | New30 bets |
| Dreamlawn0xeee1…3e28 | 25 bps increase | $52.8K | New47 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | 25 bps increase | $48.4K | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No change | $48.0K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,396 bets |
| SSCCAAMM0x2cea…4ecc | No change | $47.5K | Losing−$16.97 per $100 · 231 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No change | $47.2K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| PotatoKotato0xa7cc…644e | No change | $45.4K | Positive+$1.26 per $100 · 275 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No on 25 bps decrease | $44.8K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | No change | $35.8K | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| GrimoireWeiss0xe0bf…d7fe | No change | $35.3K | Losing−$12.74 per $100 · 453 bets |
| nubet0xe056…8120 | No change | $33.4K | New74 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | No on 25 bps decrease | $33.3K | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | No change | $32.5K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.