Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 3,491 | 86.1¢ | $2.83K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 3,007 | 83.6¢ | $2.43K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ourdemocracy20xbdcb…e811 | No | 1,503 | 86.0¢ | $1.22K | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 569 bets |
| bigdickprick0x8735…46e5 | Yes | 4,549 | 15.8¢ | $867 | — |
| OrbitSugarFree0x890d…15ac | No | 702 | 84.8¢ | $569 | New74 settled bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 665 | 85.0¢ | $538 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,954 bets |