Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JasonPunos0x47ae…ee94 | Yes | 1,183 | 88.1¢ | $905 | Break-even+$0.96 per $100 · 1,080 bets |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | Yes | 686 | 87.0¢ | $525 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,250 | 37.5¢ | $294 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,040 bets |
| 84690xf137…9cb6 | Yes | 269 | 94.7¢ | $206 | New11 settled bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 263 | 82.2¢ | $201 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| 0x6fa7…907e | Yes | 192 | 80.7¢ | $147 | — |