Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,800 | 76.4¢ | $1.27K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,040 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 828 | 55.7¢ | $583 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| OrbitSugarFree0x890d…15ac | No | 564 | 83.7¢ | $397 | New74 settled bets |
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 502 | 83.4¢ | $354 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| delphilo0xca52…0cdf | Yes | 1,002 | 48.1¢ | $296 | — |
| Vagabund970xa53b…4021 | Yes | 847 | 33.5¢ | $250 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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