Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 2,490 | 88.6¢ | $1K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | Yes | 1,018 | 23.6¢ | $609 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | Yes | 777 | 63.9¢ | $464 | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0x6fa7…907e | Yes | 615 | 56.2¢ | $368 | — |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | Yes | 443 | 31.4¢ | $265 | — |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | No | 602 | 43.5¢ | $242 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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