Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| insidero0x3eae…5e6d | No | 158 | 65.0¢ | $113 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 514 bets |
| qqqmmmccc0x6d72…a399 | No | 153 | 69.1¢ | $109 | Losing−$2.27 per $100 · 4,820 bets |
| RegThinks0x2c25…87c0 | No | 109 | 64.9¢ | $78 | — |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 259 | 30.8¢ | $74 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 99 | 28.2¢ | $71 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 93 | 65.0¢ | $66 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| TANGO8530x70ca…2443 | Yes | 139 | 36.0¢ | $40 | — |
| polymark0xbfe6…16f6 | No | 42 | 69.9¢ | $30 | — |
| y1000x09ad…5e6f | No | 30 | 62.3¢ | $21 | — |
| hnwdgf0xcfca…9722 | No | 30 | 71.8¢ | $21 | — |
| machbut0xc2de…6781 | Yes | 74 | 31.9¢ | $21 | New42 settled bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 52 | 36.0¢ | $15 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 20 | 70.0¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| MrDonaldinho0x1575…b309 | Yes | 45 | 34.5¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x8d2e…f022 | Yes | 39 | 34.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | No | 15 | 67.8¢ | $11 | — |
| Waverider0xc3da…f328 | Yes | 36 | 28.0¢ | $10 | — |
| JourneyerJohn0x7146…0978 | No | 11 | 88.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Funnyfeetz0xf0a3…1307 | No | 9 | 63.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xc03f…95fe | Yes | 22 | 36.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x370b…c9c9 | Yes | 20 | 30.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 20 | 24.4¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| pk99220xb7a1…e821 | Yes | 19 | 32.9¢ | $5 | — |
| pk9430870x5e7a…500c | Yes | 18 | 34.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9bbd…6e72 | No | 7 | 41.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x94d7…ad41 | Yes | 15 | 33.9¢ | $4 | — |
| coldestgrace0xb2fd…f3a5 | Yes | 14 | 35.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 5 | 69.3¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,027 bets |
| 0x6706…2341 | No | 4 | 68.3¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 988 bets |
| macminibot0xdb0f…6906 | No | 4 | 69.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | No | 4 | 45.7¢ | $3 | — |
| TheQrunch0xab3b…76f6 | Yes | 10 | 30.8¢ | $3 | — |
| IrthBirth0xc092…5428 | No | 4 | 71.5¢ | $3 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 4 | 72.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | No | 3 | 68.0¢ | $2 | — |
| toyotaboythief0x8033…c774 | No | 3 | 70.8¢ | $2 | — |
| KINGJAMES7860xf546…9d67 | Yes | 7 | 29.8¢ | $2 | — |
| E.T0x6b60…4007 | No | 2 | 84.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | Yes | 6 | 15.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 09F911029D740x4247…455f | No | 2 | 44.0¢ | $2 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 5 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| bobthebuilder20x044c…2d6c | Yes | 3 | 29.8¢ | $1 | — |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 3 | 31.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| 0x4947…5fc0 | Yes | 3 | 32.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 2 | 31.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 1 | 40.7¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 0 | 67.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 0 | 29.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 69.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Marcy-and-Gracie-Capital0x3675…ceb3 | Yes | 0 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiDISNEY0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | 0 | 66.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 0 | 34.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| ScottsRoad0xcceb…f030 | Yes | 0 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
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