Market · 9 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 629 | 94.7¢ | $576 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| rar1110x1bb7…543b | No | 151 | 82.7¢ | $138 | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 241 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 300 | 5.3¢ | $25 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 91 | 6.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 90 | 11.3¢ | $8 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 63 | 5.8¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 60 | 14.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 50 | 13.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | Yes | 32 | 3.0¢ | $3 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 21 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 12 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| cristinathearena0x475a…86ab | Yes | 11 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
2-Year Treasury Yield · October 2026 · 1 event · $3.91K in play